Hope Springs Eternal For JLT
A new poll from the South Bend Tribune and WSBT shows a tight gubernatorial race despite several recent polls indicating Mitch Daniels with a commanding lead:
A new statewide poll has found tight races for both president and governor in Indiana.
The South Bend Tribune/WSBT poll released Wednesday found 46 percent of likely voters favored Republican John McCain for president while 45 percent said they supported Democrat Barack Obama.
The same poll found 47 percent supported Republican Gov. Mitch Daniels while 46 percent said they support Democrat Jill Long Thompson.
The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus four percentage points.
The poll was a telephone survey of 600 likely voters conducted Monday and Tuesday by Research 2000.
Yesterday, SurveyUSA showed Daniels leading Thompson by 16 points.
Who’s right?
I guess we’ll find out in 33 days. I still think Daniels, unfortunately, has this one in the bag. If the going truly gets tough, we’ll know it because he’ll go on the offensive against the opponent he’s otherwise been able to ignore for the past five months.
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So are you hoping, for the sake of your political capital, that this is wrong? I mean, the worst thing that could happen for you professionally is that Mitch wins again.
All us Democrats hope you are wrong, but you’ve done enough damage to probably put Mitch over the finish line. Best of luck.
Huh?
What correlation, if any, do these polls have to the wildly changing polls that were seen before the democratic gubernatorial primary?
I think you’re right based on Schellinger probably closing his numbers through ad points and Long Thompson not even being up on the air right now.
Also, the polls in early spring showed a wider margin for JLT, more likely to draw liberal voters. The final result was much closer, suggesting a stronger liberal tilt in the previous democratic samples? Is that being injected now, while many others see a reasonable number of D-voters splitting with Obama/Daniels?
My prediction Daniels will win by 15-20pts… And Obama winning the state by 1-2pts…
Which means a LOT of split tickets..