Capitol Watchblog
Capitol Watchblog
abdul
Nov
1
7:21 AM

Try To Figure This Out

The Republican candidate for President, in the last days of the campaign, is rallying the faithful in Indiana.

The Democratic candidate for President, in the last days of the campaign, is running commercials in Arizona, Georgia and North Dakota.

The polling data and anecdotal evidence shows a significant number of Hoosiers are going to vote for Barack Obama for President and Mitch Daniels for Governor.

IPS is closing six schools, firing 400 teachers and is still asking for millions in tax dollars to make improvements.

The Republican and former Democratic Mayor of Indianapolis who fought a brutal race are teaming up against township government.

And the Washington Township assessor was forced to admit Friday consolidation would not be bad, as long as it wasn’t done while she was still in office.

What kind of world are we living in?

jennifer
Oct
31
8:32 PM

At Long Last, Welcome Back, Senator

If you’d told me a year ago that John McCain would (a) be the Republican presidential nominee and (b) be holding a campaign rally here the day before the election, I’d have keeled over on the spot.

And yet, today we find out that Sen. McMavericky will be here on Monday in an attempt to put a few last-ditch points on the board.

Every single poll has shown that Indiana, redder than red for the past four decades, is in play — with things all tied up. This shouldn’t be happening, but it is, and it’s happening because Barack Obama didn’t take us for granted.

So, here’s the question: Will it be enough, or will it be too little too late?

I’ve said for a month now that Obama wins Indiana by a couple points. I’m sticking with that, even if McAllOverTheFearAndLoathingTalkingPoints shows up a few hours before the polls open.

We can debate ’til the cows come home how things might have been if he’d connected on the economy and not picked an empty Dolce suit as his running mate, but he made the choices he made, and how he has to have to come to fly-over country to defend those choices in order to avoid complete embarrassment when the Magic Map lights up on election night.

jennifer
Oct
31
9:10 AM

Two New Polls

The Indianapolis Star and the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics both released poll numbers today indicating that the Guv’s race is over. The Star has Democratic challenger Jill Long Thompson down by 18 points; the Downs Center shows her trailing by 17 points. I still think this one will wind up around 10 percent because of the Obama factor.

Speaking of Obama, the Star poll showed yesterday that he and John McCain are in a dead heat. The Downs Center poll shows the two candidates tied at 47 percent.

The Downs Center also polled the other two statewide races.

In the Attorney General’s race, Republican Greg Zoeller leads Democrat Linda Pence 46 percent to 42 percent. Republican Tony Bennett leads Democrat Richard Wood 45 percent to 41 percent in the race for Superintendent of Public Instruction.

What does all this mean?

The two down-ballot statewide races are tied to Obama’s turnout and performance; the Guv’s race is the result of a nearly flawless campaign by incumbent Mitch Daniels and a nearly nonexistent campaign by Thompson.

abdul
Oct
30
11:24 AM

Citizen Obama

Much to the chagrin of conspiracy theorists and their ilk, Barack Obama is a U.S. Citizen.

Now get out of your basement and off the Internet and try using a real issue, like taxes and fiscal policy.

abdul
Oct
26
8:30 AM

Sunday Morning Posts

With a little more than a week to go before Election Day, here’s what I’m hearing out and about.

John McCan’t 2008

  • More and more Republicans are expressing their frustrations with the John McCain campaign in Indiana.  As one high level official put it, “They are disorganized!”  He also added, “Luckily they are not so disorganized that they will lose Indiana, but you can forget about the nationwide race.”  By the way, Republican Guru Karl Rove has put Indiana in the Blue column for Obama.   Talk about insult to injury.

Poll Dancing

  • A Research 2000 poll is slated to come out this week showing the Governor’s Race only a couple points apart, but it may be the odd man out.  Other internal polls are showing up to a 30-point difference between Mitch Daniels and Jill Long Thompson in some parts of the state.  By the way,  the political class agrees that there are going to be a lot of split ticket voting here in Indiana.  The conventional wisdom however is that Mitch can win with either John McCain or Barack Obama taking Indiana, but JLT only gets over the hump with a huge Obama win.
Bizzarro Politics
  • The world we live in just officially turned upside down.  The left-leaning Gary Post-Tribune has endorsed Mitch Daniels for Governor over JLT.  Also add the Ft. Wayne Gazette (her hometown paper) also endorsed Mitch.  This is not a good sign.
Negative on Going Negative
  • Republican Attorney General candidate Greg Zoeller has said “no” to going negative on Democrat Linda Pence.   The organization which funds Republican AG candidates wanted Zoeller to go negative against Pence, but he refused.  So the group pulled it’s funding for some television attack ads.  Zoeller’s campaign is still going to be on the air, they are just “taking the high road” in the last days of the campaign.

The Ghosts That Haunt Me

  • I’m told some members of the former Peterson administration members may be facing criminal investigation for alleged wrongdoing over at the Indianapolis Bond Bank.  Stay tuned for that one, it could be big.
Shake Em Up
  • There may be some rearranging the offices in the Ballard administration soon, but don’t expect to hear anything until after Election day.
Uncivil War
  • The only thing holding Marion County Democrats together these days is the Barack Obama campaign and their goal to deliver the County big.  But once that is over, there is going to be blood in the streets as civil war gets underway for control of the party.  Watch for the what I will fondly label in the future as “The War of the Wild Irish Roses.”

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